Methodology

How Protocols & Packets measures, scores, and reports public network signal, and where the boundaries are.

What GNHI Is

The Global Network Health Index (GNHI) is a composite indicator representing overall network stability. It is not a measurement — it is a system indicator that aggregates multiple independent signals into a single interpretable score.

GNHI is calculated globally and by region (North America, Europe, Asia Pacific). It is updated continuously using rolling time windows.

Input Signals

GNHI is derived from four categories of public signal:

  • Latency deviation — deviation from regional baselines, not raw millisecond values.
  • Packet loss clustering — patterns in packet loss across paths, not isolated drops.
  • Jitter volatility — the variability of latency over time, indicating instability.
  • BGP routing instability — route withdrawal and announcement churn from public route collectors.

Score Formula

Each input signal is normalized to a 0–1 scale against its own regional baseline. The composite GNHI score is a weighted combination of these normalized signals, scaled to a 0–100 range:

GNHI = Σ (wᵢ × normalized_signalᵢ) × 100

Where wᵢ are the metric weights and the sum of all weights equals 1. A high score (closer to 100) indicates stable, predictable networks. A declining score indicates stress, congestion, or instability.

Metric Weights

Weights reflect the relative importance of each signal category. They may be adjusted as signal coverage improves, but conceptual integrity is preserved. Current approximate weights:

SignalWeight
Latency deviation0.30
Packet loss clustering0.25
Jitter volatility0.20
BGP routing instability0.25

Thresholds and Interpretation

Score RangeInterpretation
80–100Stable — networks behaving predictably
60–79Elevated — noticeable deviations from baseline
40–59Stressed — significant instability detected
0–39Degraded — widespread disruption signals

Short drops may indicate isolated events. Sustained declines indicate systemic issues.

Confidence Scoring

Every GNHI score is accompanied by a confidence value. Confidence reflects how much independent signal the observatory has to support its score — not how "correct" the score is.

Contributors Curve

Confidence scales with the number of independent data contributors. With few contributors, confidence is low because the index may reflect a narrow view. As contributors increase, confidence rises along a saturation curve: each additional contributor adds progressively less confidence.

This means early contributors have a large effect on confidence, while additional contributors beyond a certain threshold provide diminishing returns. The curve is designed so that confidence approaches but never reaches 100%.

What Confidence Does Not Mean

  • Confidence is not a probability that the score is "right."
  • Confidence does not measure data quality — only signal coverage breadth.
  • A low-confidence score is still published, but should be weighted accordingly by consumers.

Data Philosophy

Protocols & Packets is built on public, legal, defensible data and opt-in contributions only. Trust is the product.

What We Measure

  • Public internet routing data (BGP collectors, looking glasses).
  • Public measurement platforms (latency, loss, jitter probes).
  • Public cloud and infrastructure status signals.
  • Aggregated active measurements from distributed probes.

What We Do Not Claim Access To

  • Proprietary carrier telemetry.
  • Internal cloud provider metrics.
  • Utility or data-center internal power measurements.
  • Customer-identifiable information of any kind.

Measured vs. Inferred

An observation is a directly measured signal from public or opt-in data. An inference is a conclusion drawn by correlating multiple observations. Inferences are always expressed probabilistically. The observatory reports correlations and observed patterns — it avoids asserting causation without evidence.

Aggregation is preferred over raw precision. Trends and deltas matter more than absolutes. Indices are used to express system health; they are not exact measurements.

Neutrality and Language Discipline

Protocols & Packets does not assign blame, does not editorialize, and does not advocate for vendors, carriers, or policies. The platform observes and reports.

All published language is technically accurate, defensible under scrutiny, and free of speculation or sensationalism. Phrases implying certainty without proof are avoided.

Limitations — What This Is Not

  • GNHI is an indicator, not a measurement. It relies on indirect, public signals.
  • The observatory is blind to private infrastructure and internal carrier networks.
  • Resolution is limited to aggregate behavior — individual link-level diagnosis is not provided.
  • The observatory is designed for observability, not diagnosis. It offers context, not root-cause guarantees.
  • The "Is It Them or Us?" diagnostic is probabilistic framing. It does not declare faults.
  • Index inputs and weights may evolve as signal coverage improves. Conceptual integrity is preserved.

Protocols & Packets is not a network management system, a monitoring tool, a vendor comparison platform, or a news site. It is a neutral observatory.